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Oil steady ahead of data after over-$2 tumble

By Maryelle Demongeot
Reuters
First Posted 11:31:00 01/16/2008

Filed Under: Oil & Gas - Upstream activities, Energy & Resources

SINGAPORE -- Oil was steady on Wednesday as the market awaited a slate of oil industry data for further signs of a possible US recession and weakening global demand that could extend the previous day's over-$2 plunge.

US light crude for February delivery was down eight cents at $91.82 a barrel by 0128 GMT, having tumbled by $2.30 on Tuesday on a surprise drop in US retail sales in December and a record quarterly loss at the US largest bank Citigroup Inc.

February London Brent crude which expires later on Wednesday fell four cents to $90.94 a barrel.

"I don't see any bullish factor in the short term but stocks data and the IEA report are important data and this should be an important week. This time the IEA might be forced to cut because of the economic turmoil," Tetsu Emori of Japan's Astmax Futures Co Ltd.

Industry analysts expect US crude inventories to have risen last week for the first time in nine weeks, calling for a 600,000 barrels rise as imports recovered.

Distillates would increase by one million barrels, and gasoline by 2.5 million barrels, a Reuters poll showed.

Traders will also watch for the International Energy Agency's monthly report to be released later in the day.

The IEA, adviser to 27 industrialized countries, last month raised its global demand forecast for 2008 by 200,000 barrels per day (bpd) to 2.1 million bpd.

But some now expect the organization to cut its forecast in light of the latest US economic data, which would send a bearish signal to the market.

US oil prices are down more than 8.0 percent from their all-time peak of $100.09, hit earlier this month, as concern about a US economic slowdown has outweighed tightening stockpile levels in major consumer nations.

Oil was also affected on Tuesday when Saudi Arabia's oil minister, Ali al-Naimi, said the world's top exporter would raise output when the market needed more crude, responding to a US call for more supply.

US President George W. Bush, on a tour of the Middle East, earlier urged Saudi Arabia to help tame soaring oil prices which threaten the US economy, saying exporters should help get more crude into the market. Editing by Valerie Lee



Copyright 2009 Reuters. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.



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