Asian markets take a step back after Biden-fuelled rally
HONG KONG – Asian markets fell Friday as investors took a breather following a strong week for global equities as Joe Biden took up residence in the White House, though there are concerns about the outlook for his new stimulus proposal.
The new president spent his first full day firing out a series of executive orders to kickstart the government’s battle against Covid-19 as he looks to get the world’s top economy back on its feet, including ramping up its vaccination programme.
But he warned that the country would likely see its 500,000th death next month as the disease surges, though there was some optimism as data suggested infections appear to be plateauing.
Top infectious disease adviser Anthony Fauci said the president’s target of 100 million doses of vaccine injected within his first 100 days was “absolutely” achievable.
The virus continues to be the main stumbling block for markets, which is playing off against long-term optimism that the planet will eventually return to normal as more people get a jab.
Biden’s $1.9 trillion rescue plan has been a key driver for buying in recent weeks, but there is a fear it could be watered down by growing opposition among Republicans — and some Democrats — to such a big spending spree just a month after a $900 billion package was passed.
But most observers are confident Congress will eventually deliver more help. Biden’s pick for Treasury Secretary, Janet Yellen, this week told senators to “go big” if they want to see a quicker recovery.
“Day two for the Biden administration delivered no surprises, with the focus shifting to the debate over his $1.9 trillion Covid relief plan,” said OANDA’s Edward Moya. “The next couple weeks will be filled with political posturing but expectations are high that at least $1 trillion worth of support will get approved.”
Asia was in the red, with Hong Kong retreating on profit-taking after cracking 30,000 points Thursday for the first time since April 2019, though analysts say a flood of cash from mainland Chinese traders should buoy the market for some time to come.
Tokyo, Shanghai, Sydney, Singapore, Taipei and Manila also fell, though there were gains in Seoul and Wellington.
The losses came despite a broadly positive lead from Wall Street, where the Nasdaq fired to another record along with the S&P 500, though the Dow inched slightly lower.
The US rises were helped by a series of upbeat economic readings, including a surge in the Philadelphia-Delaware-New Jersey manufacturing to its highest level since early in the pandemic, below-forecast jobless claims and better-than-expected housing starts.
And the outlook among observers remains one of positivity for world markets.
National Australia Bank’s Ray Attrill said that traders were a long way from worrying about the possible negative aspects of Biden’s presidency, such as tax hikes and re-regulation.
“Doubtless that will come at some point,” he said, “but for now the prospect of stronger fiscal support for the economy and the evident determination of the new administration to get to the other side of the pandemic as quickly as possible, together with incoming fourth-quarter earnings results, looks to be carrying the day.”
And Janus Henderson Investors’ Paul O’Connor added: “While the recent rally clearly suggests that some of this recovery is already priced in, we see plenty of scope for investment flows to rotate from cash and other assets toward equities, once the recovery becomes more visible.”
Key figures around 0300 GMT
Tokyo – Nikkei 225: DOWN 0.4 percent at 28,646.99 (break)
Hong Kong – Hang Seng: DOWN 0.8 percent at 29,678.20
Shanghai – Composite: DOWN 0.4 percent at 3,606.13
Euro/dollar: UP at $1.2173 from $1.2169 at 2150 GMT
Dollar/yen: UP at 103.55 yen from 103.50 yen
Pound/dollar: DOWN at $1.3715 from $1.3735
Euro/pound: UP at 88.76 pence from 88.59 pence
West Texas Intermediate: DOWN 1.3 percent at $52.45 per barrel
Brent North Sea crude: DOWN 1.2 percent at $55.45 per barrel
New York – Dow: FLAT at 31,176.01 (close)
London – FTSE 100: DOWN 0.4 percent at 6,715.42 (close)