Asian markets boosted by ‘Big Progress’ in Japan tariff talks
A woman walks by an electronic stock board of a securities firm in Tokyo, Wednesday, July 17, 2019. (AP Photo/Koji Sasahara)
HONG KONG, China — Tokyo led stocks higher Thursday as optimism over Japan-US trade talks offset Federal Reserve boss Jerome Powell’s warning that Donald Trump’s tariffs could force officials to choose between fighting inflation or unemployment.
Investors are keeping a nervous eye on Washington for the next three months as governments scramble to cut deals to avert crippling tariffs unveiled by the US president on his April 2 “Liberation Day” but delayed for 90 days.
With Japanese companies the biggest investors into the United States, Tokyo’s negotiations are of particular interest to markets — with some describing it as the canary in the mine — and traders took heart from early signs.
Trump posted on social media that there had been “Big Progress!” and Tokyo’s envoy Ryosei Akazawa said “I understand that the US wants to make a deal within the 90 days. For our part, we want to do it as soon as possible”.
And while Japan’s Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba warned the talks “won’t be easy”, he said the president had “expressed his desire to give the negotiations… the highest priority.”
READ: Japan fails to win immediate tariff relief in US talks
Hopes that Trump’s blistering tariffs can be pared back have helped temper some of the disquiet on markets after a rout at the start of the month fueled by talk of a global recession and an upending of historic trading norms.
Some have said there were rumblings that the target of his most painful measures could be open to dialogue, with Bloomberg reporting China wants to see some measures beforehand, including reining in some cabinet members’ anti-Beijing comments.
Uncertainties remain
Shares in Tokyo rose along with Hong Kong, Shanghai, Sydney, Singapore, Seoul and Wellington, though Taipei edged down.
However, uncertainty continues to prevail on trading floors after a selloff on Wall Street — and gold hitting a fresh record above $3,350 — sparked by Powell’s warning over the impact of the tariffs.
READ: US stocks fall with dollar as Fed chief warns on tariffs
He said that while the Fed’s employment and inflation goals were largely in balance at this point, policymakers could find themselves in the “challenging scenario” depending on how things evolve.
“Tariffs are highly likely to generate at least a temporary rise in inflation,” he told the Economic Club of Chicago, adding that the inflationary effects “could also be more persistent.”
He added, “You’ll probably see continued volatility.”
READ: Trump tariffs could put the US Fed in a bind, Powell warns
Chris Weston at Pepperstone said, “Powell has again frustrated some, who perhaps optimistically felt he might change the messaging from his recent communique and to open the door to cuts in the June (policy) meeting, a factor that is priced at 80 percent by interest rate swaps traders.”
Oil prices extended gains after Washington on Wednesday sanctioned a second China-based “teapot” refinery for purchasing Iranian crude as it continues its “maximum pressure” campaign against Tehran.
The State Department said the measures against Shandong Shengxing Chemical were part of the US president’s campaign to “drive Iran’s illicit oil exports” to zero.
Key figures at 0230 GMT
Tokyo – Nikkei 225: UP 0.9 percent at 34,212.29 (break)
Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: UP 1.2 percent at 21,318.36
Shanghai – Composite: UP 0.2 percent at 3,282.41
Dollar/yen: UP at 142.55 yen from 142.12 yen on Wednesday
Euro/dollar: DOWN at $1.1375 from $1.1395
Pound/dollar: DOWN at $1.3224 from $1.3235
Euro/pound: DOWN at 86.02 pence from 86.06 pence
West Texas Intermediate: UP 0.8 percent at $62.98 per barrel
Brent North Sea Crude: UP 0.6 percent at $66.25 per barrel
New York – Dow: DOWN 1.7 percent at 39,669.39 (close)
London – FTSE 100: UP 0.3 percent at 8,275.60 (close)
