Oil falls on doubts OPEC+ will make further cuts
An aerial view shows a crude oil tanker at an oil terminal off Waidiao island in Zhoushan, Zhejiang province, China Jan 4, 2023. China Daily via REUTERS
HOUSTON -Oil prices fell on Monday on concern about a drop in demand and on continued uncertainty about the depth and duration of OPEC+ supply cuts.
Brent crude futures settled down 85 cents, or 1.08 percent, at $78.03 a barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures finished down $1.03, or 1.39 percent, at $73.04.
Monday’s fall adds to a 2- percent decline last week after the supply cuts announced on Thursday by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and allies including Russia, together known as OPEC+.
“The market has decided (OPEC+ production plans) are not going to have that much of an impact. It’s more style over substance,” said Andrew Lipow, president of Lipow Oil Associates, said about crude traders on Monday.
Saudi Arabia’s energy minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman said in a televised interview with Bloomberg on Monday that he expected OPEC and its allies to bring about the 2.2 million in crude oil production cuts announced last week.
“I honestly believe that the delivery of the 2.2 will happen,” Bin Salman said. “I honestly believe that will continue to happen (and the) 2 million will overcome even the huge inventory build that usually happens in the first quarter.”
OPEC+ last week announced production cuts that are voluntary in nature, raising doubts about whether or not producers would fully implement them. Investors were also unsure about how the cuts would be measured.
READ: OPEC+ agrees to deepen voluntary oil output cuts
Traders over the past five months have waited to see if cuts in production as well as predicted changes in demand would come to fruition, said Zane Curry, vice president of markets and research for Mobius Risk Group.
“We’ve become Missouri, the Show-Me state,” Curry said.
Surveys on Friday showed global manufacturing activity remained weak in November on soft demand, with euro zone factory activity contracting, while there were mixed signs on the strength of China’s economy.
READ: IMF chief: Prospects for medium-term global growth weak
“The OPEC+ ‘deal’ last week was unconvincing to say the least,” said Craig Erlam, analyst at brokerage OANDA. “And with markets seemingly anticipating more of an economic slowdown next year, the announcement simply doesn’t go far enough.”
Elsewhere, Western countries have stepped up efforts to enforce the $60 a barrel price cap on seaborne shipments of Russian oil imposed to punish Moscow for its war in Ukraine.
Washington on Friday imposed additional sanctions on three entities and three oil tankers.
