Wall Street falls as bond market cranks up the pressure
An umbrella held by a tour group leader is seen in front of the New York Stock Exchange Wednesday, Aug. 16, 2023, in New York City. (AP Photo/J. David Ake)
NEW YORK — Wall Street weakened Wednesday to worsen what’s already been a messy August.
The S&P 500 fell 33.53, or 0.8 percent, to 4,404.33, following up on its prior day’s tumble of 1.2 percent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 180.65 points, or 0.5 percent, to 34,765.74, and the Nasdaq composite dropped 156.42, or 1.1 percent, to 13,474.63.
Increased pressure came from the bond market, where yields have recently neared their highest levels since the Great Recession sent interest rates collapsing. Yields climbed more following the afternoon release of the minutes from the Federal Reserve’s latest meeting.
The minutes suggested Fed officials are unsure about their next move after catapulting the main interest rate they control to its highest level in more than two decades. Hopes had been rising among investors that last month’s rate hike by the Fed would prove to be its last.
High rates work to grind down inflation by bluntly slowing the entire economy and hurting investment prices. The Fed’s minutes showed that officials still don’t think the job on inflation is done but that they also acknowledge the risk of going too far and torpedoing the economy. They said they’ll make upcoming decisions based on what data reports about inflation and the economy tell them.
Some analysts took the minutes as a suggestion that another rate hike is possible, while others said it shows the Fed is likely done hiking.
“Ultimately there were no major surprises in the minutes, as the Fed is expected to remain data dependent when determining the path of monetary policy through the end of the year,” said Sam Millette, fixed income strategist for Commonwealth Financial Network.
Big technology stocks and other investments seen as particularly vulnerable to higher rates were some of the day’s heaviest weights on indexes. Tesla fell 3.2 percent. Facebook’s parent, Meta Platforms, dropped 2.5 percent, and Amazon fell 1.9 percent.
Wall Street has generally been retrenching this month on several concerns, including worries that torrid gains made this year through July were overdone and that interest rates may stay high for longer.
A surprisingly strong report on sales at U.S. retailers helped cause Tuesday’s slide in stocks, as it suggested upward pressure on inflation still exists. While strong economic reports calm long-held worries about a possible recession, they could also end up keeping rates higher for longer.
Data released Wednesday showed that U.S. industrial production improved by more than economists expected last month. Homebuilders also broke ground on more homes.
Treasury yields have been generally climbing as reports paint a picture of a still solid economy. That pressures stocks because when safe bonds are paying more in interest, investors feel less pressure to pay high prices for stocks and other risky investments.
The yield on the 10-year Treasury rose to 4.26 percent from 4.22 percent late Tuesday. It’s once again close to where it was when the 2007-09 Great Recession sent interest rates crashing. The 10-year yield helps set rates for mortgages and other important loans.
The 10-year Treasury Inflation Protected Security, which takes inflation into account, is at its highest level since 2009, according to Tradeweb.
On Wall Street, Intel’s stock fell 3.6 percent after it and Tower Semiconductor agreed to call off Intel’s $5.4 billion buyout of the Israeli chip maker. The deal faced resistance from Chinese regulators.
Agilent Technologies fell 3.4 percent despite reporting stronger profit for the latest quarter than analysts expected. Its forecasts for upcoming results, including revenue for the full year, fell short of expectations. It pointed to a challenging economy, particularly in China.
Coinbase Global’s stock swung after it said it plans to soon offer futures trading for cryptocurrencies to eligible U.S. customers after receiving federal regulatory approval. It rallied in the morning before finishing with a dop of 0.2 percent.
Target and TJX, the company behind T.J. Maxx and Marshalls, helped to limit the market’s losses. Target rose 3 percent, and TJX climbed 4.1% after both reported stronger profit for the spring than analysts expected.
Progressive jumped 8.9 percent for the biggest gain in the S&P 500 after reporting its results for July, and other insurers also rallied to help lead the market.
In stock markets abroad, indexes were mixed in Europe. Stocks were down more sharply in Asia, where worries are high about a faltering economic recovery in China.
Stock indexes fell 1.4 percent in Hong Kong, 1.8 percent in Seoul, 1.5 percent in Tokyo and 0.8 percent in Shanghai.
Coming into this year, the expectation was that China’s economy would grow enough after the government removed anti-COVID restrictions to prop up a global economy weakened by high inflation. But China’s recovery has faltered so much that it unexpectedly cut a key interest rate on Tuesday and skipped a report on how many of its younger workers are unemployed.
