Philippines on track to lose growth momentum in 2023, says World Bank

MANILA  – The Philippine economy is expected to lose momentum in 2023 with the pace of expansion set to slow to 5.7 percent as soaring inflation and higher interest rates crimp domestic demand, the World Bank said on Tuesday.

The World Bank’s outlook, which was trimmed from its earlier growth forecast of 5.8 percent, was more pessimistic than the government, which on Monday cut its 2023 growth projection to 6 percent-7 percent from 6.5 percent-7.5 percent.

“The forecast for 2023 is premised on reduced consumer demand, alongside high inflation and high interest rates that are expected to temper household spending and investments,” the World Bank said.

The World Bank expects the Philippines to end 2022 on a strong note with the economy forecast to grow 7.2 percent, much higher than its previous growth projection of 6.5 percent, after the Southeast Asian country’s robust performance in January to September.

The Philippines is on course to meet its 6.5 percent-7.5 percent growth target this year after economic output averaged 7.7 percent in the nine months to September as the government lifted nearly all COVID-19 restrictions and allowed more business activities to resume.

“This deteriorating global environment is spilling into the domestic economy and tempering the country’s growth prospects in 2023,” World Bank Senior Economist Ralph van Doorn told a media briefing.

To safeguard growth, Van Doorn said the Philippines must address the impact of high inflation, keep its fiscal position sound and continue to invest in health, education and agriculture to boost productivity.

The Philippines, like many countries, is grappling with inflation, which surged to a 14-year high in November, keeping the pressure on its central bank to tighten monetary policy.