Oil prices mixed after Gadhafi’s death | Inquirer Business

Oil prices mixed after Gadhafi’s death

/ 08:04 AM October 21, 2011

NEW YORK—Oil markets felt little impact Thursday from the death of Libyan strongman Moammar Gadhafi, though it could lead to an earlier-than-expected full restoration of Libya’s oil exports.

New York’s main contract, West Texas Intermediate crude for delivery in November, fell 81 cents to $85.30 a barrel.

In London, Brent North Sea crude for December pushed $1.38 higher to finish at $109.76 on the Intercontinental Exchange.

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The New York contract, on its final day, “expired at its lowest price in a week as oil prices fall back on concerns that a European debt agreement may be delayed,” said BMO Capital Markets.

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“There is also speculation that Gadhafi’s demise could accelerate the return of Libyan production.”

Gadhafi’s death “actually means little for today’s oil price, but it does remove one of a series of risk factors to a sustained ramp-up in Libyan production,” JPMorgan analyst Lawrence Eagles said.

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Libya produced about 1.4 million barrels per day of mostly high-value light sweet crude before the rebellion against Gadhafi broke out at the start of 2011.

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Around 85 percent of Libyan output was exported to Europe, and its disappearance contributed to the surge in Brent crude from the North Sea, in comparison to New York-traded WTI.

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OPEC sees member Libya restoring production to one million barrels per day within six months, then attaining pre-conflict levels by the end of 2012.

But analysts at Barclays Bank warned that “serious security challenges persist in Libya that could hinder efforts to restore Libyan production fully.”

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TAGS: Commodities, Conflict, Energy, Libya, Moammar Gadhafi, oil

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