Eleven countries in an ambitious free trade deal, including Singapore, have agreed to go ahead without the United States after a week of drama when agreement seemed elusive.
They will stick to the core elements of the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) agreed upon two years ago, but which the United States pulled out of in January.
The deal substantially lowers tariffs on a wide range of goods and, even without the US, remains attractive, although some had sought to weaken its onerous standards.
For Singapore companies, it offers access to a market of 500 million people with a combined output of US$10 trillion (S$13.6 trillion).
The new pact – the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for the TPP (CPTPP) – suspends 20 provisions of the original TPP, mostly on intellectual property.
It was reached on the sidelines of the annual leaders’ meetings of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (Apec), a grouping of 21 economies set up to liberalise trade across the region. All the TPP countries are members of Apec.
Japan’s Economy Minister Toshimitsu Motegi said the CPTPP will enter into force after at least six members ratify it. Its members are Australia, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore and Vietnam.
Speaking to Singapore reporters after the Apec Summit ended, Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong said it took “a lot of skill and determination and willingness” among the 11 parties to agree not to renegotiate the pact, even though the circumstances have changed.
“It is not easy to take the TPP that was designed for 12 countries, remove one and then have the remaining 11 reach an agreement almost the same as the original, because economic calculations change, strategic calculations change, and political calculations change.”
The deal appeared to hit a major roadblock on Friday (Nov 10) when a planned meeting of TPP leaders was shelved as Canadian PM Justin Trudeau did not attend. His Trade Minister Francois-Philippe Champagne later put this down to “a misunderstanding about the schedule”.
Business groups cheered the deal, including the Singapore Business Federation, whose chief executive officer Ho Meng Kit said he “looked forward to the speedy conclusion and subsequent implementation of the restructured agreement”.
The Asian Trade Centre executive director, Dr Deborah Elms, told AFP that even without the US, the CPTPP was “the most important trade agreement signed in the last 20 years”. “Companies had largely given up on the TPP after the withdrawal of the United States,” she said. “Now, firms will need to scramble to figure out how the agreement matters to their business.”
Ever since US President Donald Trump withdrew the US from the TPP in one of his administration’s first acts in January, Japan – the next-biggest economy in the group – has taken the lead in negotiations.
Seven TPP members are also in talks on another trade deal, the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP). Its 16 members comprise all 10 Asean nations as well as China, Japan, India, South Korea, Australia and New Zealand.
Chinese Foreign Ministry official Zhang Jun told reporters in Danang yesterday (Nov 11) that the CPTPP would not impact the RCEP’s prospects.
RCEP members held a 20th round of talks in Incheon last month and their leaders will meet at the Asean summit in Manila on Tuesday to review their progress.