Quantcast
Article Index |Advertise | Mobile | RSS | Wireless | Newsletter | Archive | Corrections | Syndication | Contact us | About Us| Services
 
Thu, Nov 10, 2011 11:38 AM Philippines      25°C to 33°C
  HOME       NEWS     SPORTS     SHOWBIZ AND STYLE      TECHNOLOGY     BUSINESS     OPINION      GLOBAL NATION    SERVICES
Advertisement
Inquirer Mobile
Property Guide

INQUIRER ALERT
Get the free INQUIRER newsletter
Enter your email address:




 
Money / Top Stories Type Size: (+) (-)
You are here: Home > Business > Money > Top Stories

  ARTICLE SERVICES      
     Reprint this article     Print this article  
    Send Feedback  
    Post a comment   Share  

  RELATED STORIES  

GALLERY
 

SLOWING GROWTH. Residents carry bags of cheap rice they bought from a government distribution center in Manila on May 29, 2008. Economic growth in the Philippines slowed to 5.2 percent in the first three months of the year on the back of weak exports and rising food and energy prices, government economists said May 29. AFP/JES AZNAR





imns



Q1 economic growth at 5.2% on weak exports, high oil prices


Reuters, Thomson Financial
First Posted 09:39:00 05/29/2008

Filed Under: Economy, Business & Finance

MANILA, Philippines ? (UPDATE 4) The economy grew at a slower pace of 5.2 percent in the first quarter from a year ago due to weak exports and rising food and energy prices, government data showed on Thursday.

Seasonally adjusted, gross domestic product grew just 0.8 percent in the first quarter from the last quarter of 2007.

The annual growth was at the lower of the government's and economists' forecasts. The government was looking at annual growth of between 5.2 percent and 6.2 percent for the quarter. Economists had expected growth to come in at 5.2 to 6.25 percent.

The services sector expanded 6.9 percent from a year earlier while industrial output grew 3.9 percent. Farm output, which accounts for a fifth of GDP, rose 3.0 percent.

"Two factors: there was weak external demand and high oil and food prices," economic planning chief Augusto Santos said of the slowdown.

On Wednesday the government cut its economic growth target and ditched its goal of achieving a balanced budget this year due to the impact of a US-led global slowdown and soaring inflation.

"There will be downside disappointment," said Vishnu Varathan, an economist with Forecast Pte.

"The danger now is that consumer sentiment gets impaired by inflation despite robust remittances (from overseas)."

"Inflation unfortunately also undermines investment sentiment as well as portfolio flows and with the government having plans to up loans, there is always a fear that it 'crowds out' investments at a difficult time."

"The number is within our expectations. It tells us that the economy is suffering from the current global slowdown led by the US," said Simon Wong, economist at Standard Chartered Bank in Hong Kong.

"With this, we see the Philippine economy growing at just 4.0 percent for the full year as exports will further contract. The downturn in the US is only the beginning of a bigger slowdown.

"The first phase was a result of the financial crisis while in the latter stage, this will spread to other aspects of the economy. It will slow demand for foreign goods," said Wong who is looking at export growth of just 3.0 percent this year.

The government said this week it expected growth of between 5.2 and 6.2 percent in the first quarter from a year before.

The government now expects GDP to grow between 5.7 percent to 6.5 percent in 2008 compared to the previous target of 6.3 percent to 7.0 percent.

"People are tightening their belts," NEDA?s Santos told a news briefing, saying that growth in personal consumption expenditure slowed to 5.1 percent in the first quarter from 5.9 percent a year earlier and 6.1 percent in the fourth quarter.

Santos said money sent home by Filipinos working abroad, which have been boosting domestic demand, continued to increase but recipients might not be spending as much as they used to or their purchasing power might have been eroded by a stronger peso.

"The government has committed to fine-tune the fiscal program in order to achieve the new growth target.

"The government will be spending more particularly for the most vulnerable sector of the society. We're looking at a budget deficit equivalent to about 1.0 percent of GDP this year, or roughly P75 billion ($1.7 billion)," said Santos.

Santos could not provide more details about the additional spending, but he said it would be funded by revenue from asset sales and new borrowings both foreign and domestic.

"We hope to see higher growth in the second quarter as the government spends more on infrastructure and social services to help affected sectors cope with rising oil and food prices," Finance Secretary Margarito Teves told reporters.

"The government's improved revenue performance in the first four months would help ensure that the government could fund higher levels of spending in the coming months," he said.

Rocketing inflation and inconsistent growth in the United States, a top export market, has brought the Philippine economy back down to earth after it roared to a 7.3-percent expansion last year, its best performance in over three decades.

The government also shelved this year's goal of a balanced budget, once the centerpiece of President Gloria Macapagal Arroyo's economic plan, and said it expected it to be around $1.7 billion in the red as it hikes spending to support growth.

Additional debt will fund this year's deficit, and Manila now aims to balance its books in 2010.

($1 = P43.85)



Copyright 2011 Reuters, Thomson Financial. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.


Share

RELATED STORIES:

OTHER STORIES:


  ^ Back to top

© Copyright 2001-2011 INQUIRER.net, An INQUIRER Company

The INQUIRER Network: HOME | NEWS | SPORTS | SHOWBIZ & STYLE | TECHNOLOGY | BUSINESS | OPINION | GLOBAL NATION | Site Map
Services: Advertise | Buy Content | Wireless | Newsletter | Low Graphics | Search / Archive | Article Index | Contact us
The INQUIRER Company: About the Inquirer | User Agreement | Link Policy | Privacy Policy

Advertisement
Federal land
Jobmarket Online
Inquirer VDO
BizLinq