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Oil prices rise on China growth optimism


Agence France-Presse
First Posted 07:06:00 11/12/2009

Filed Under: Oil & Gas - Downstream activities, Economy and Business and Finance, Energy

NEW YORK – Oil prices climbed Wednesday on China's strengthening economy, which underscored increasing petroleum demand as the world recovers from recession.

New York's main contract, light sweet crude for delivery in December, added 23 cents to end at $79.28 per barrel.

London's Brent North Sea crude for December delivery gained 45 cents to $77.95 per barrel.

Traders said new data showed China, the world's third largest economy, continued to strengthen following the worst global crisis in decades.

Industrial production and retail sales picked up pace in October, while demand for Chinese exports improved, official data in Beijing showed Wednesday.

The data put the government's growth target of eight percent well within reach for 2009. Beijing sees the growth rate essential for job creation and keeping a lid on social unrest in the country of 1.3 billion people.

"Industrial production numbers out of China could get the bull's jets revved up," said oil analyst Phil Flynn of PFG Best.

He said China was part of the reason behind the US Energy Information Administration's decision Tuesday to raise the global oil demand outlook by 150,000 barrels a day.

The EIA said sustained economic growth in China and other Asian countries was contributing to the beginning of a rebound in world oil consumption. It revised upwards its expectations for world oil consumption for the second consecutive month.

Meanwhile in Vienna Wednesday, the OPEC cartel of oil producers left broadly unchanged its forecasts for world oil demand growth both this year and next year, warning of downside risks should economic recovery remain weak.

World oil demand in 2009 was expected to contract by 1.39 million barrels per day to 84.31 million bpd, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries said in its November report.

A month ago, it had been pencilling in only a fractionally bigger contraction of 1.41 million barrels per day for this year.

Next year, world oil demand was expected to grow by 0.75 million bpd to average 85.07 million bpd.

That figure, too, was almost unchanged from the previous forecast for growth of 0.70 million bpd.

"Although most... signs are pointing toward higher oil demand, the downward risk factors are weighing on the forecast," the report cautioned.

On Thursday, the US Department of Energy will publish its latest weekly report on crude oil stockpiles in the world's biggest energy consuming nation.

With some US markets closed on Wednesday for Veterans' Day, the energy report is due one day later than normal.

Most analysts expect the department to report that American crude reserves rose 200,000 barrels last week.



Copyright 2009 Agence France-Presse. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.



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