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GLOBAL MARKETS
Asia stocks up on hopes of recovery


Reuters
First Posted 11:46:00 01/06/2009

Filed Under: World Financial Crisis, Economy and Business and Finance, Gaza conflict, Soft Commodities, Foreign Exchange Markets, Markets & Exchanges, Stock Activity, Oil & Gas - Upstream activities, bonds and t-bills

HONG KONG -- Asian stocks edged up for a seventh day on Tuesday, boosted by hopes for a global economic recovery later in 2009, though the rising yen and falling high-yielding currencies suggested such optimism was limited.

Investors continued to move money stashed in government bonds to equities as their willingness to take risks recovered with low interest rates around the world and governments essentially writing blank checks for plans to revive sagging economies.

Long-dated US Treasuries were under pressure after the 30-year yield surged overnight, rising above 3.0 percent for the first time since mid December, as the market demanded more incentive to lend to the increasingly indebted US government.

Expectations that US President-elect Barack Obama will offer $310 billion in tax cuts as part of a $775-billion plan to support the economy has fed into a recovery in investors' willingness to take risks. Germany also was reportedly considering tax cuts to revive Europe's largest economy.

Still, the global economy showed few signs of near-term improvement. US auto sales posted their weakest year since 1992 and total job losses were expected to be the highest in the post-war period.

"Indicators of market stress continue to improve whilst bond yields continue to back up in line with the improvement in risk appetite over recent weeks and consistent with an asset class rotation from bonds to equities," said Calyon strategists in a note.
"We remain cautious about the potential for this to continue and suspect that the flow of money back into riskier assets that has gained momentum over recent weeks will stall soon."

The MSCI index of Asia-Pacific stocks outside Japan rose for a seventh straight day, up 1.1 percent to a two-month high and shrugging off weakness on Wall Street where investors took profits on last week's run-up.

The index has rallied 34 percent since hitting a five-year low in November, though trading volumes may remain thin in January because of public holidays throughout Asia.

Japan's Nikkei average climbed 1.1 percent, led by Fast Retailing Co. Ltd., which saw solid same-store sales at its clothing chain as a result of aggressive discounts.

South Korean stocks rose 2.0 percent. Technology companies were among the biggest boosts to the index, with Samsung Electronics up 4.8 percent.

CAUTIOUS DOLLAR BUYING

The US dollar slipped against the yen, after hitting a near one-month high the previous day on expectations that a planned US stimulus package would help revive the faltering economy.

"There are expectations for the new administration's economic measures such as possible big tax cuts, and this may underpin the dollar in the near term," said Yuji Saito, head of the FX sales department at Societe Generale.

"But the economic package has not yet been endorsed, so investors are cautious about buying the dollar aggressively," he said.

The yen, which has served as a refuge for investors from wild financial market volatility, strengthened broadly.

The dollar was down 0.3 percent to 93.16 yen while the euro fell 0.5 percent to 126.65 yen

The euro was off 0.3 against the dollar at $1.3603 having fallen 11 cents from a three-month high reached in December.

Though the yen was supported, other popular havens like Japanese government bonds and US Treasuries were under pressure as the attraction of cheap stocks sucked in investors.

The real fireworks have been in long-maturity US debt. The 30-year yield has jumped 50 basis points in the last week to 3.03 percent, and the 10-year yield 43 basis points to 2.49 percent as institutional investors sour on the idea of the Federal Reserve buying late-maturity Treasuries to keep rates low.

The benchmark 10-year Japanese government bond yield rose 4.5 basis points to 1.245 percent ahead of a auction of 10-year bonds on Thursday. A week ago the 10-year yield hit a five-year low of 1.155 percent.

Oil prices were steady after settling more than 5.0 percent higher the previous day as the Israeli-Palestinian conflict and a dispute between Russia and Ukraine over natural gas helped lift prices.

Israel's violent campaign to stop its towns from being showered with rockets showed no signs of ending though, as the country's troops backed by air strikes fought to seize ground from Hamas militants deep inside the Gaza Strip.

US light crude for February delivery was trading at $48.68 a barrel after plumbing four-year lows around $32 last month.



Copyright 2009 Reuters. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.


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