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US think tank expects BSP to hike key rates


Philippine Daily Inquirer
First Posted 02:35:00 08/27/2008

Filed Under: Interest Rates, Central Banks

The central bank, Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP), is expected to jack up its key interest rates by 0.75 to 1.00 percentage point in the months ahead to counter the effects of high inflation, economists said.

Ahead of the BSP rate-setting meeting on Thursday, the market has factored in a 0.25-point increase in the BSP overnight borrowing rate to 6.00 percent.

“With persistent volatilities in global commodities markets, monetary officials are unlikely to abandon their hawkish stance as yet, and this is indeed what they have lately been signaling,” New York-based think tank Global Source said in a commentary dated Aug. 22.

The BSP raised its key interest rates by a total 0.75 percentage point in the past two months.

In July, inflation as measured by the rise in the consumer price index reached 12.2 percent, the fastest rate in 17 years, bringing the January-July average to 8.3 percent.

Global Source expects the BSP to raise its key interest rates by 0.75 to 1.00 percentage point for the remainder of the year.

Edward Teather, an economist at UBS Investment Research, said both the BSP and the Bank of Thailand would likely jack up interest rates by 0.25 percentage point this week.

UBS expects the BSP overnight borrowing rate to reach 6.5 percent by yearend, up 0.75 point from the present rate, and rise further to 7.00 percent next year. Doris C. Dumlao; with editing by INQUIRER.net



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