Neda keeping growth target


MANILA, Philippines—Economic Planning Secretary Arsenio M. Balisacan said the Philippine economy could still grow as projected, even as economists expressed concern over sluggish global trade and its effects on economic output.

“We believe we have ample space for domestically driven expansion to make up for the impact of the sluggish global growth on the economy. There are also growth drivers that are resilient to global shocks, such as BPOs [business process outsourcing firms] and agro-based exports,” Balisacan said in a text message to the Inquirer.

At a recent economic briefing, Balisacan said it was still possible for the country to hit the higher end of the GDP target given the domestic economy’s growth momentum.

The World Trade Organization has reported that a slowing global production had led WTO economists to downgrade their 2012 forecast for world trade expansion to 2.5 percent from 3.7 percent and their 2013 estimate to 4.5 percent from 5.6 percent.

“In an increasingly interdependent world, economic shocks in one region can quickly spread to others. Recently announced measures to reinforce the euro and boost growth in the United States are therefore extremely welcome,” WTO Director General Pascal Lamy said in a statement.

The Philippines might miss its exports growth target this year due a strong peso and weaker-than-expected global trade, University of the Philippines economist Benjamin E. Diokno, said in a text message.

“A 5.5-percent GDP [gross domestic production] growth is likely assuming a less severe El Niño in the fourth quarter and no extreme weather disturbance between now and rest of the year. Two major risk factors: the strong peso and the ability of the government to implement programs and projects authorized in the 2012 budget,” Diokno said.

Get Inquirer updates while on the go, add us on these apps:

Inquirer Viber

Disclaimer: The comments uploaded on this site do not necessarily represent or reflect the views of management and owner of We reserve the right to exclude comments that we deem to be inconsistent with our editorial standards.

  • Chris

    Let’s see if Diokno is right – 5.5% for the whole year of 2012.

To subscribe to the Philippine Daily Inquirer newspaper in the Philippines, call +63 2 896-6000 for Metro Manila and Metro Cebu or email your subscription request here.

Factual errors? Contact the Philippine Daily Inquirer's day desk. Believe this article violates journalistic ethics? Contact the Inquirer's Reader's Advocate. Or write The Readers' Advocate:

c/o Philippine Daily Inquirer Chino Roces Avenue corner Yague and Mascardo Streets, Makati City,Metro Manila, Philippines Or fax nos. +63 2 8974793 to 94


editors' picks



latest videos