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Bangko Sentral warns speculators as peso hits 4-year high

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BSP Governor Amando Tetangco Jr.: SDA facility should not accommodate foreign investments

MACTAN, Cebu—As the peso strengthened to its highest in four years, the central bank on Tuesday warned against currency speculation and reminded banks about the non-eligibility of money from foreign clients in the special deposit account (SDA) facility.

The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas said it wanted banks to put up a system that would detect sources of funds being invested in the SDA facility. Specifically, the BSP wanted banks to have a means to prove to regulators that the funds they were placing in SDAs were not money coming from their foreign clients.

Last July, the BSP announced that it was prohibiting foreign funds from being invested in the central bank’s SDA facility, a virtually risk-free investment vehicle that earns about 4 percent interest across all maturities.

The prohibition was aimed at curbing speculative activities involving the peso-dollar exchange rate. Regulators believed that because of speculation that the peso would further appreciate over the near term,

fund owners were selling dollars and investing in pesos to take advantage of potential earning opportunities. Some of the pesos bought by speculators were believed to be being parked as investments in the SDA facility of the central bank.

BSP Governor Amando Tetangco Jr. said the SDA facility should not be accommodating foreign investments, particularly those that are speculative in nature. The facility was meant to siphon off excess peso liquidity to keep inflation manageable, he said.

“Banks have to put in place a system that will make sure they are able to comply with the regulation against SDA placements funded by foreign money. They must establish a system through which they can tell [the BSP] the source of the SDA funds,” Tetangco told reporters at the sidelines of a financial literacy program held here and organized by the BSP and the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD).

The peso again strengthened to the 41-to-a-dollar territory this month, hitting a new four-year high on Monday. On Tuesday, the local currency closed at 41.56 to $1. Regulators attributed the appreciation of the peso to the favorable economic performance of the Philippines and the economic problems of advanced economies—both of which are driving foreign investment funds (mostly the speculative “hot money”) to the Philippines.

Tetangco said the BSP would exercise flexibility in intervening in the foreign exchange market, such as by buying dollars, to prevent sharp and sudden movements in the exchange rate.

Tetangco said the BSP maintained the policy of allowing the exchange rate to be generally determined by the market, but would keep the flexibility to participate in the market to avoid sharp fluctuations.

The BSP said it did not have a bias in favor of a strong or weak peso, but stressed that sharp and sudden fluctuations should be avoided. Too much volatility, it explained, harms businesses and the economy in general.


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Tags: Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas , currencies , Peso , Philippines , speculators

  • Hayek SaMaynila

    BSP is allowing PHP to strengthen too fast… Good Bye “investment grade” rating!…All the efforts of this administration and the  private sector will just be squandered if we let this continue.  The strong peso proponents in the BSP are wasting a lot of the gains we’ve made, so far, this year.

    • http://pulse.yahoo.com/_2WTTL6FMGU4D7YZQNHAXBVO2DU Betz Chui

      I agree, how can our exporters and manufacturers compete, and how would investors come if we have a strong peso? China, despite US and EU protests controlled the ascent of the Yuan until recently with very tight bands….only speculations is driving the peso up…and bad for OFWs, exporters, manufacturers..and good for Chinese goods  and other imports as they would come cheaper etc.etc.

  • http://pulse.yahoo.com/_AUVZQYX3IUO7R2PEZRDS6ZDFUA RamBoDan

    Bottomline the OFW’s are most affected…

  • http://pulse.yahoo.com/_ED6A2XHBBMQQYM4MFSZ7BMIB4M batang-gas

    Bad for manufacturers and exporters. Good for imported products.

  • http://profile.yahoo.com/U4NXPQNTAMHIVOPOFMUKGQQXEM Noel

    @betz Chui – ur name sounds familiar..i am in new delhi and i can surely feel (or felt)  the hit of this FOREX. I prefer to invest(FD, MF) my money in india and earn much higher interest as compared to sending money to PH- i loss in FOREX and my money earns almost nothing in the bank.

  • http://pulse.yahoo.com/_2WTTL6FMGU4D7YZQNHAXBVO2DU Betz Chui

    The Indian Rupee and the Philippine peso were almost at par value for many years…yet for the past 30 months or so…speculators are winning hugely in the Philippines – but not in India. Check historical exchange of Indian rupee and Philippine peso since 2001 and you would know!

  • http://pulse.yahoo.com/_2WTTL6FMGU4D7YZQNHAXBVO2DU Betz Chui

    Indias GDP growth rates since 2005 to date averages 7 percent, while Philippines average since 2005 to date is just around or even less than 3 percent…. the same with growth in foreign investments and exports and other economic indicators. Indian rupee is today at 56 to the dollar, while it is 42 to the dollar for the peso! There is NO good reason for the peso to be at 42 – somebody, somewhere is profiting out of this – and the OFWs, exporters, BPOs, etc are the losers. This rise of the Peso should decrease prices of commodities by around 15 to 20 percent – but we still have over 5 percent of inflation, hay..naku.

    How much money is lost from OFWs?

    If we assume the value of Peso to be at par with Indian Rupee, i.e. the peso should be around 56 – then each dollar sent home is losing 14 pesos at current exchange rate of 42 pesos to the dollar – this means than the total remittances of 25 billion dollars multiplied by 14 = 350 billion pesos – is the total amount lost annually from the pockets of OFWs.

    • http://profile.yahoo.com/74YM4AKT6YHVIO2VVW6VDNZJTA Jhon

      Still seft interest

    • http://pulse.yahoo.com/_JEMNLLYAP5EA7SM3A6QUOGV62Q Chris

      Why would you be comparing India and PH? the decline in the rupee this year is due to the huge trade and current acct deficits with declining foreign investments.. which accelerated inflation and slowed growth in that country. these are two different economies with different economic policies and economic issues.. what a poor analysis.

      • http://pulse.yahoo.com/_2WTTL6FMGU4D7YZQNHAXBVO2DU Betz Chui

        India and PH dahil almost at par ang rates for many years. Yes we have good current account compared to India because of the money of speculators parked in our banks disguised as investments…..at the expense of the real hard earned money of OFWs – which will eventually be taken out by speculators as profits. Habang hirap ang OFW families to budget, hehe. Forex speculation is a game played by…

        All I am saying is that for the past ten years..India had a way better averages in terms of good economic indicators than PH yet there was no divergence between our currency rates..until recently…. we are being played…..42 to the dollar is justifiable if we have a  consistent Increase in exports YOY, Increase in industrial output YOY, low employment rates meaning something is employing people beause of real economic growth,  etc. etc….eh wala eh…unemployment rates is still around 9 percent! Inflation is still high, flood there and here, and for that we are going to 40 to the dollar soon…hehehe….dahil sa baha ganun? There is NO, I repeat NONE to justify peso appreciation to 41 to the dollar. Heck it can even go as much as 35 to the dollar…who knows….just by speculating.

  • TagaMlang

     ”Tetangco said the BSP maintained the policy of allowing the exchange
    rate to be generally determined by the market, but would keep the
    flexibility to participate in the market to avoid sharp fluctuations.”

    I have always been a consistent advocate of a “fixed rate regime”.  With this, all the problems mentioned by Tetangco posed by speculators and the banks will be avoided.

    In my own assessment, the best exchange rate so far for the Philippines is P45/$1.  This will benefit the OFW’s, the exporters, the BPO’s and likewise discourage imports of non-essentials.

    Additionally, the almost US$45 Billion OFW remittances, exports and BPO earnings is about 20% of GDP.  At 10% peso appreciation (from 45 to 41), the Peso revenue loss is equivalent to about P180 Billion, or a reduction in GDP growth of about 1.878% (in Peso terms).  The Philippines is gunning for a 5.7-6% GDP growth this year.  The best solution? FIX THE EXCHANGE RATE AT P45/$1.

    The SDA is a window whereby the BSP can use to control the money (Peso) in circulation to minimize inflation.  But if the BSP will intervene in the market by buying US Dollars, then the BSP is increasing the money (Peso) in circulation.  Therefore, the SDA becomes in-effective because it negates itself.  This is one of the many in-consistencies of our government. 

    • http://profile.yahoo.com/74YM4AKT6YHVIO2VVW6VDNZJTA Jhon

      hahahahaha, you’re funny men. Self interest. More poor in the Phils then the peso must rise.

  • http://pulse.yahoo.com/_2WTTL6FMGU4D7YZQNHAXBVO2DU Betz Chui

    The Central bank must fixed it/ensure it would now go down below 40. What if fund managers from the west invests weekly 50B dollars until December 2012? Sa kangkungan pupulutin ang exchange rates…kawawang OFWs at exporters!!

    • http://profile.yahoo.com/74YM4AKT6YHVIO2VVW6VDNZJTA Jhon

      Ehhh, di maganda. diyan na kami mag work at hindi malayo sa family.

  • S. de Ibarra

    Expect further flight of capital from the West to the Far East . These Investors are now eyeing the “second tier emerging economies” like the Philippines as a temporary safe haven for their investments, in default of China.  Western Fund managers and investors are always up to date with economic news and data and they are forecasting a hard landing of the Chinese economy based on China’s regular economic data bulletins and investors keen physical observation of its economy .  Philippine economic managers MUST be on guard, although this might be a good sign of progress  and opportunity for the Philippines, but it is best not to procrastinate the possibility of flight of capital to another safe haven. Read and be well informed! Knowledge is Power!



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